(This post has been updated to reflect crime stats through May 2011 and to add a link at the end to a lively discussion over at Freakonomics on why crime is falling.)
Lots of media reports this week discussed a surge in auto theft in the Seattle area and statewide. The number of reported auto thefts in the Seattle-Bellevue-Tacoma metro area increased 18.8% in 2010 over 2009; the statewide increase was 9.8%. This story in Tuesday's Seattle Times has the details, along with a ranking of the 10 Washington cities with the highest auto theft rate per capita. (Seattle's not number one!)
What about crime in general? Seattle, along with the entire country, has experienced a long, downward trend in reported crime. In fact, today's rate of crime in Seattle is the lowest it has been since the late 1960s. Of course, the big question is why? Why has crime declined so dramatically in Seattle and across the country?
There are many theories being thrown around by people who debate these things: policy makers, academics, police officers, criminologists, criminal justice advocates, and many others. While the debaters do not agree, one thing is clear: crime rates do not necessarily increase during tough economic times.
Continue reading "Long-Term Crime Trends Nationally and in Seattle" »